https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sHm1MhOG7yI
Watching this clip you may be confident that you are watching the stars of tomorrow…Maybe.
You may even be confident that by playing and practising in this type of ‘elite’ football environment a nine year old child will develop…Maybe.
To explain overconfidence, Daniel Kahneman, Israeli-American psychologist and Nobel Memorial Prize recipient, introduces a concept he labels, ‘What You See Is All There Is.’ This theory states that when the mind makes decisions, it deals primarily with Known Knowns, phenomena it has already observed. It rarely considers Known Unknowns, phenomena that it knows to be relevant but about which it has no information. Finally, it appears oblivious to the possibility of Unknown Unknowns, unknown phenomena of unknown relevance.
He explains that humans fail to take complexity into account and that their understanding of the world consists of a small and not necessarily representative set of observations. Furthermore, the mind generally does not account for the role of chance and therefore falsely assumes that a future event will mirror a past event.
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thinking,_Fast_and_Slow)
A week or so ago Julie Dolan gave me a book titled “The Curious Incident of the Dog in the Night-Time”. Essentially the book is about about difference, about being an outsider, about seeing the world in a surprising and revealing way.
The book title itself was adapted from a Sherlock Holmes quote:
Detective: “Is there any other point to which you would wish to draw my attention?”
Holmes: “To the curious incident of the dog in the night-time.”
Detective: “The dog did nothing in the night-time.”
Holmes: “That was the curious incident.”
I would like to draw your attention to the curious talent development program at Ajax:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SsO0WT0XpNQ
It is often what you don’t see that leaves real clues.
By chance, I am fortunate to share an office with Patrick Zwaanswijk who often provides his experiences as part of growing up in the Ajax academy. He once told me that aerobics was introduced to challenge the player’s timing and rhythm. I often wondered what that looked like, then I found this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QL-qwSu53bQ
Leave a Reply